16 Aug 2026
6f · Good To Firm · Class 3 · Cieren Fallon
Rare Change (IRE) Horse Record, Performance Stats & Odds
b gelding · by Mehmas (IRE) out of Plus Ca Change (IRE)
Profile
Rare Change (IRE) is a b gelding, by Mehmas (IRE) out of Plus Ca Change (IRE). From 22 career starts, Rare Change (IRE) has 4 wins, 8 total placed finishes (strike rate 18%, place rate 36%) and total recorded prize money of £55,726.
★ MARKET-IMPLIED WIN PROBABILITIES
Bar widths show each runner's de-overrounded market chance, based on best price. Bookmaker margins removed so the percentages total ~100%.
- Galeron 28.4% 1.1
- Ironwill 28.4% 1.1
- Forty Years On 9.6% 9/4
- Rhoscolyn 7.4% 4.2
- Ghost Mode 6.8% 4.6
- Completely Random 3.9% 7/1
- Darkness 3.3% 17/2
- Aalto 2.4% 12/1
- Addison Grey 2.2% 14.5
- Fondo Blanco 1.7% 18
- Pellitory 1.5% 20/1
- The Fingal Raven 1.5% 20/1
Career Record
22
Runs
4
Wins
18%
Win %
8
Placed
36%
Place %
£55,726
Earnings
Peak Ratings Achieved
91
Peak OR
1
Best finish
Performance Breakdowns
By course
| course | Runs | Wins | Placed | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwood | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17% |
| York | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33% |
| Pontefract | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% |
| Newbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
By going
| going | Runs | Wins | Placed | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11% |
| Good To Firm | 6 | 2 | 3 | 33% |
| Soft | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33% |
| Standard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Good To Soft | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Standard To Slow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
By distance
| distance | Runs | Wins | Placed | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f | 11 | 2 | 6 | 18% |
| 7f | 10 | 2 | 2 | 20% |
| 5f | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
Recent Form Analyst Notes
Race History
7
9/1
SP
7
10 Jul 2026
7f · Good To Firm · Class 3 · Finley Marsh
33/1
SP
1
7 Jun 2026
7f · Soft · Class 4 · Finley Marsh
16/1
SP
9
6 May 2026
7f1y · Good · Class 3 · Rossa Ryan
16/1
SP
3
20 Apr 2026
6f1y · Standard · Class 4 · Finley Marsh
2/1F
SP
12
24 Oct 2025
7f · Soft · Class 3 · Finley Marsh
20/1
SP
12
27 Sep 2025
7f · Good To Firm · Class 2 · Finley Marsh
33/1
SP
6
5 Sep 2025
7f · Soft · Class 3 · Billy Loughnane
14/1
SP
12
2 Aug 2025
7f · Good To Soft · Class 2 · Finley Marsh
33/1
SP
7
28 Jun 2025
7f · Standard · Class 2 · Sean D Bowen
4/1J
SP
1
22 Jun 2025
6f · Good · Class 3 · Finley Marsh
7/2
SP
10
24 May 2025
7f · Good · Class 2 · Warren Fentiman
11/1
SP
Breeding
- Date of birth
- 25 Feb 2022
- Sire
- Mehmas (IRE)
- Dam
- Plus Ca Change (IRE)
- Damsire
- Invincible Spirit (IRE)
- Breeder
- Airlie Stud & Mrs S M Rogers
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Slow to break - settled towards the back - pushed along inside the final furlong - crept on late finishing seventh beaten 3 lengths
settled towards the back of the pack early - made progress and was driven over 2f out - stayed on at a level gear in the final furlong without finding more
Settled in behind early - driven into contention approaching 2f out - moved up to dispute the lead final furlong - got there right on the line
Settled in the pack - holding position until 2f out - lost ground inside final two furlongs then kept trying to the line