20 Jun 2026
1m2½f · Soft · Keithen Kennedy
Simpson's Paradox (IRE) Horse Record, Performance Stats & Odds
b gelding · by Mastercraftsman (IRE) out of Alpha Lupi (IRE)
Profile
Simpson's Paradox (IRE) is a b gelding, by Mastercraftsman (IRE) out of Alpha Lupi (IRE). From 25 career starts, Simpson's Paradox (IRE) has 1 win, 5 total placed finishes (strike rate 4%, place rate 20%) and total recorded prize money of £17,962.
★ MARKET-IMPLIED WIN PROBABILITIES
Bar widths show each runner's de-overrounded market chance, based on best price. Bookmaker margins removed so the percentages total ~100%.
- Coul Dore 17.9% 11/4
- Cleopatra's Needle 14.9% 7/2
- Swift Charm 13.4% 4/1
- Albatala 12.2% 9/2
- Slaney Swagger 8.4% 7/1
- Copper Craft 8.4% 7/1
- Simpson's Paradox 6.7% 9/1
- Folk Warrior 6.1% 10/1
- Kilgharrahs Love 3.7% 17/1
- Talking Tough 3.4% 19/1
- Thistle Cross 2.6% 25/1
- Maker's Mark 2.2% 30/1
Career Record
25
Runs
1
Wins
4%
Win %
5
Placed
20%
Place %
£17,962
Earnings
Peak Ratings Achieved
90
Peak OR
1
Best finish
Performance Breakdowns
By course
| course | Runs | Wins | Placed | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killarney (IRE) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25% |
| Gowran Park (IRE) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Navan (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Bellewstown (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Galway (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| Down Royal (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
By going
| going | Runs | Wins | Placed | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| Heavy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20% |
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Yielding | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Good To Yielding | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Standard | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
By distance
| distance | Runs | Wins | Placed | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m | 12 | 1 | 4 | 8% |
| 2m | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| 1m1f–1m2f | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| 7f | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| 1m3f–1m4f | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| 2m1f–2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
Race History
3
14/1
SP
8
12 Jun 2026
1m · Yielding · Keithen Kennedy
22/1
SP
20
15 Mar 2026
1m · Heavy · Chris Hayes
11/1
SP
7
13 Feb 2026
7f · Standard · James Ryan
16/1
SP
PU
13 Dec 2025
2m · Soft · Sam Ewing
66/1
SP
15
13 Nov 2025
2m · Heavy · J J Slevin
80/1
SP
6
20 Oct 2025
1m½f · Heavy · Scott McCullagh
5/1
SP
12
7 Dec 2024
2m · Good To Yielding · Conor Tierney
125/1
SP
8
3 Nov 2024
2m½f · Good · Jack Kearney
12/1
SP
8
9 Oct 2024
1m2f · Good To Yielding · Conor Maxwell
22/1
SP
5
23 Aug 2024
1m6½f · Yielding To Soft · Adam Caffrey
18/1
SP
5
22 Jul 2024
1m1½f · Soft · Conor Maxwell
16/1
SP
Breeding
- Date of birth
- 15 May 2020
- Sire
- Mastercraftsman (IRE)
- Dam
- Alpha Lupi (IRE)
- Damsire
- Rahy (USA)
- Breeder
- Niarchos Family
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