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Ballinrobe · Monday 20 July 2026 · Off 6:10 · 1m1f135y · Going: Good · Purse: €7,200 · 3yo
British Gambler's Picks
Composite scoring across market position, Racing Post Rating, Topspeed, recent form and trainer 14-day strike rate. Tips, not guarantees — bet responsibly.
18+ only. Tips for guidance — check terms with your bookmaker. Best Odds Guaranteed at the operators listed below.
Verdict, Market Read & Value Calls
The market makes Connova the clear favourite (implied 20.3% chance) at 15/8, trained by Ms Sheila Lavery. Private Larry is the chief market rival at 2.2.
★ Market shape · A competitive heat at the top of the market — three or four runners are within touching distance on price.
★ Top pick · Top pick: Connova. Best price available at PricedUp Bet — historically translates to roughly a one-in-three strike rate at favourite-level pricing.
★ Each-way value · Each-way value sits with Private Larry at 2.2. The price gives place hunters a margin of safety, particularly with bookies paying Extra Places in big-field handicaps.
★ Bigger-priced angle · The bigger-priced angle: Aquilla Star at 7.5. Form figures of 0072-7 show place form within recent runs — at a double-digit price the each-way play covers downside risk if the favourites duel.
1m1f135y · Good going.
Bar widths show each runner's de-overrounded market chance, based on best price. Bookmaker margins removed so the percentages total ~100%.
- Connova 20.3% 15/8
- Private Larry 18.3% 2.2
- John La Bear 10.6% 4.5
- Nephin Mountain 8.4% 6
- Divine Believer 7.8% 6.5
- Aquilla Star 6.9% 7.5
- Curious Jane 6.5% 8
- Six Wings 4.9% 11
- Werifesteria 4.2% 13
- Mare Crisium 3.7% 15
- Spring Sprinter 3.4% 16
- Coolshine 2.8% 20
Field & Odds (13 runners)
Sorted by market position. Best price shown is the lowest decimal price across the leading UK horse racing bookmakers — tap any bookie pill to bet at that price.
| No. | Horse | J / T | Form | RPR | TS | Best Price | Top Bookies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 (2) | Connova |
J: Chris Hayes T: Ms Sheila Lavery |
600-43 | 15/8 | |||
| 6 (13) | Private Larry NAP h |
J: Gavin Ryan T: Alan McIntyre |
000881 | 11/5 | |||
| 3 (6) | John La Bear EW t |
J: Donagh O'Connor T: Ross O'Sullivan |
0441-7 | 9/2 | |||
| 9 (1) | Nephin Mountain DH |
J: Terry Casey(7) T: Michael Mulvany |
048405 | 6/1 | |||
| 4 (4) | Divine Believer |
J: Colin Keane T: Henry De Bromhead |
00778 | 13/2 | |||
| 7 (9) | Aquilla Star |
J: Siobhan Rutledge T: John C McConnell |
0072-7 | 15/2 | |||
| 10 (8) | Curious Jane p |
J: Nathan Crosse T: Ciaran Murphy |
0-009 | 8/1 | |||
| 12 (12) | Six Wings t |
J: Wesley Joyce(3) T: Paul W Flynn |
096709 | 11/1 | |||
| 1 (10) | Werifesteria p |
J: Shane Foley T: Mrs John Harrington |
787 | 13/1 | |||
| 5 (5) | Mare Crisium |
J: Max Popan(10) T: K J Condon |
6859 | 15/1 | |||
| 8 (3) | Spring Sprinter |
J: Ben Coen T: Andrew Slattery |
760 | 16/1 | |||
| 2 (11) | Coolshine |
J: Rory Cleary T: K A Heffernan |
900 | 20/1 | |||
| 13 (7) | Music And Song p |
J: Rory Mulligan(5) T: Thomas Dowling |
996045 | 25/1 |
Best Free Bets for This Race
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