Derby 2026 Odds, Tips, Best Betting Offers
Curragh · Tuesday 20 October 2026 · Off 3:35 · 1m 4f · Going: Yielding · Purse: €18,000 · 3yo+
British Gambler's Picks
Composite scoring across market position, Racing Post Rating, Topspeed, recent form and trainer 14-day strike rate. Tips, not guarantees — bet responsibly.
18+ only. Tips for guidance — check terms with your bookmaker. Best Odds Guaranteed at the operators listed below.
Verdict, Market Read & Value Calls
The market makes Shosholoza the clear favourite (implied 27.5% chance) at 1/1, trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien. Sirius is the chief market rival at 13/8.
★ Top pick · Top pick: Shosholoza. Best price available at Betfair Sportsbook — historically translates to roughly a one-in-three strike rate at favourite-level pricing.
★ Each-way value · Each-way value sits with Sirius at 13/8. The price gives place hunters a margin of safety, particularly with bookies paying Extra Places in big-field handicaps.
★ Bigger-priced angle · The bigger-priced angle: Hunters Run at 80/1. Form figures of 01125/ show place form within recent runs — at a double-digit price the each-way play covers downside risk if the favourites duel.
1m4f0y · Yielding going · Favourite's trainer is striking at 11% over the last 14 days.
Bar widths show each runner's de-overrounded market chance, based on best price. Bookmaker margins removed so the percentages total ~100%.
- Shosholoza 27.5% 1/1
- Sirius 20.9% 13/8
- Absurde 18.3% 2/1
- Contorsion 12.2% 7/2
- Bay of Stars 6.9% 7/1
- Mister Adam 4.6% 5.7
- Puppet Master 4.6% 11/1
- Narlita 3.2% 16/1
- The Mediator 1.3% 28/1
- Hunters Run 0.4% 80/1
Field & Odds (10 runners)
Sorted by market position. Best price shown is the lowest decimal price across the leading UK horse racing bookmakers — tap any bookie pill to bet at that price.
| No. | Horse | J / T | Form | RPR | TS | Best Price | Top Bookies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 (2) | Shosholoza t |
J: Mr H C Swan T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien |
5-8660 | 13/8 | |||
| 3 (4) | Sirius NAP h |
J: Mr David Dunsdon T: W. P. Mullins |
/01-02 | 28/9 | |||
| 6 (7) | Absurde p |
J: Mr P W Mullins T: W. P. Mullins |
2378-0 | 34/5 | |||
| 10 (10) | Contorsion |
J: Mr J L Gleeson T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien |
15-5 | 6/1 | |||
| NR (1) | Bay of Stars EW v |
J: Mr Finian Maguire T: D K Weld |
-12303 | 8/1 | |||
| NR (3) | Mister Adam DH |
J: Mr B M Coonan(7) T: G. O'Leary |
4316-8 | 16/1 | |||
| 9 (8) | Puppet Master tp |
J: Mr D McGill(7) T: Ciaran Murphy |
94-853 | 28/1 | |||
| 2 (9) | Narlita p |
J: Miss M Walsh(7) T: H Rogers |
405073 | 41/1 | |||
| 1 (5) | The Mediator |
J: Ms C E O'Ryan(7) T: Gordon Elliott |
245054 | 129/1 | |||
| 7 (6) | Hunters Run ht |
J: Miss Georgie Benson(7) T: Peter John Flood |
01125/ | 300/1 |
Best Free Bets for Derby 2026
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18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. T&Cs apply at each operator. All horse racing bookmakers verified UKGC-licensed. Welcome offers re-checked monthly. Free help and support at GambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133. Self-exclusion tools at GamStop.
When the fun stops, stop.