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Kempton (AW) · Monday 14 September 2026 · Off 8:00 · Class 5 · 1m 2f 219y · Going: Standard / Slow · Purse: £4,187 · 3yo+

British Gambler's Picks

Composite scoring across market position, Racing Post Rating, Topspeed, recent form and trainer 14-day strike rate. Tips, not guarantees — bet responsibly.

NAP
★★★★☆
Extraterrestrial
13/8
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Simon & Ed Crisford
form 2052
EACH-WAY
★★★☆☆
Sax Avoidance
3/1
J: Kieren Fox · T: Charlie Pike
form 5431 in-form trainer 18%
DARK HORSE
★★☆☆☆
Hibernate
7/1
J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: Ed Dunlop
form 5242

18+ only. Tips for guidance — check terms with your bookmaker. Best Odds Guaranteed at the operators listed below.

Verdict, Market Read & Value Calls

The market makes Extraterrestrial the clear favourite (implied 23.2% chance) at 11/10, trained by Simon & Ed Crisford. Hot Silk is the chief market rival at 13/8.

★ Market shape · A competitive heat at the top of the market — three or four runners are within touching distance on price.

★ Top pick · Top pick: Extraterrestrial. Best price available at LiveScore Bet — historically translates to roughly a one-in-three strike rate at favourite-level pricing.

★ Each-way value · Each-way value sits with Hot Silk at 13/8. The price gives place hunters a margin of safety, particularly with bookies paying Extra Places in big-field handicaps.

★ Bigger-priced angle · The bigger-priced angle: Letmebetheboss at 33/1. Form figures of 5104-7 show place form within recent runs — at a double-digit price the each-way play covers downside risk if the favourites duel.

Class 5 · 1m2f219y · Standard / slow going · Favourite's trainer is striking at 17% over the last 14 days.

★ MARKET-IMPLIED WIN PROBABILITIES

Bar widths show each runner's de-overrounded market chance, based on best price. Bookmaker margins removed so the percentages total ~100%.

Field & Odds (9 runners)

Sorted by market position. Best price shown is the lowest decimal price across the leading UK horse racing bookmakers — tap any bookie pill to bet at that price.

No. Horse J / T Form RPR TS Best Price Top Bookies
6 (5) Extraterrestrial NAP
J: Daniel Muscutt
T: Simon & Ed Crisford
 332052 26/5
7 (8) Hot Silk p
J: Oisin Murphy
T: James Fanshawe
 444325 5/2
5 (1) Sax Avoidance EW
J: Kieren Fox
T: Charlie Pike
 5431 11/2
8 (4) Three Socks On p
J: Jack Callan
T: Roger Teal
 -11433 5/1
1 (6) Hibernate DH
J: Mason Paetel(3)
T: Ed Dunlop
 115242 25/2
3 (7) Valentine Boy h
J: Jack Dace(5)
T: Luke Dace
 031484 12/1
9 (2) Knight of Storms
J: Luke Morris
T: David Simcock
 045 28/1
2 (9) Johnny Boom p
J: Myla Coppins(5)
T: Shaun Lycett
 -76235 41/1
4 (3) Letmebetheboss
J: George Downing
T: Tony Carroll
 5104-7 94/1

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Verified UKGC-licensed · Full T&Cs apply · 18+ · GambleAware.org

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