Racing Welfare Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Odds, Tips, Best Betting Offers
Newmarket (July) · Friday 17 July 2026 · Off 5:48 · Class 4 · 1m0f0y · Purse: £5,154 · 3yo+
British Gambler's Picks
Composite scoring across market position, Racing Post Rating, Topspeed, recent form and trainer 14-day strike rate. Tips, not guarantees — bet responsibly.
18+ only. Tips for guidance — check terms with your bookmaker. Best Odds Guaranteed at the operators listed below.
Verdict, Market Read & Value Calls
The market makes Cerro Blanco the clear favourite (implied 71.4% chance) at 1/16, trained by Charlie Appleby. Vastern is the chief market rival at 4/1.
★ Market shape · A tight race for one — Cerro Blanco is well-clear at the head of the market.
★ Top pick · Top pick: Cerro Blanco. Best price available at Grosvenor Sports — historically translates to roughly a one-in-three strike rate at favourite-level pricing.
★ Each-way value · Each-way value sits with Vastern at 4/1. The price gives place hunters a margin of safety, particularly with bookies paying Extra Places in big-field handicaps.
★ Bigger-priced angle · The bigger-priced angle: El Carrusel at 50/1. Form figures of 72476- show place form within recent runs — at a double-digit price the each-way play covers downside risk if the favourites duel.
Class 4 · 1m0f0y · Favourite's trainer is striking at 27% over the last 14 days.
Bar widths show each runner's de-overrounded market chance, based on best price. Bookmaker margins removed so the percentages total ~100%.
- Cerro Blanco 71.4% 1/16
- Vastern 15.1% 4/1
- Livemore 3.6% 20/1
- Anncanya 3.6% 20/1
- Parc Dosne 2.6% 28/1
- La Mariposa 2.2% 33/1
- El Carrusel 1.5% 50/1
Field & Odds (7 runners)
Sorted by market position. Best price shown is the lowest decimal price across the leading UK horse racing bookmakers — tap any bookie pill to bet at that price.
| No. | Horse | J / T | Form | RPR | TS | Best Price | Top Bookies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (7) | Cerro Blanco NAP |
J: Billy Loughnane T: Charlie Appleby |
12 | 1/16 | |||
| 5 (5) | Vastern EW |
J: Pat Cosgrave T: Adam Kirby |
2 | 4/1 | |||
| 3 (3) | Livemore |
J: Connor Planas T: T J Kent |
5 | 25/1 | |||
| 6 (1) | Anncanya |
J: David Probert T: Peter Chapple-Hyam |
25/1 | ||||
| 4 (2) | Parc Dosne |
J: Mason Paetel(5) T: Matt Crawley |
64 | 33/1 | |||
| 7 (6) | La Mariposa |
J: Liam Wright(5) T: P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck |
58 | 33/1 | |||
| 2 (4) | El Carrusel |
J: Donagh Murphy(7) T: John Ryan |
72476- | 55/1 |
Best Free Bets for This Race
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