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Southwell (AW) · Monday 27 July 2026 · Off 3:30 · Class 5 · 1m3f23y · Going: Standard · Purse: £3,978 · 3yo
British Gambler's Picks
Composite scoring across market position, Racing Post Rating, Topspeed, recent form and trainer 14-day strike rate. Tips, not guarantees — bet responsibly.
18+ only. Tips for guidance — check terms with your bookmaker. Best Odds Guaranteed at the operators listed below.
Verdict, Market Read & Value Calls
The market makes Roc De Fer the clear favourite (implied 27.5% chance) at 11/8, trained by Sir Mark Prescott Bt. Fans Favourite is the chief market rival at 9/2.
★ Market shape · A tight race for one — Roc De Fer is well-clear at the head of the market.
★ Top pick · Top pick: Roc De Fer. Best price available at Bet Victor — historically translates to roughly a one-in-three strike rate at favourite-level pricing.
★ Each-way value · Each-way value sits with Fans Favourite at 9/2. The price gives place hunters a margin of safety, particularly with bookies paying Extra Places in big-field handicaps.
★ Bigger-priced angle · The bigger-priced angle: Tinsel at 25/1. Form figures of 4061-4 show place form within recent runs — at a double-digit price the each-way play covers downside risk if the favourites duel.
Class 5 · 1m3f23y · Standard going · Favourite's trainer is striking at 36% over the last 14 days.
Bar widths show each runner's de-overrounded market chance, based on best price. Bookmaker margins removed so the percentages total ~100%.
- Roc De Fer 27.5% 11/8
- Fans Favourite 11.9% 9/2
- James Choice 8.7% 13/2
- Ziggy's Avenger 8.2% 7/1
- Sun Lord 7.3% 8/1
- Prince Of Calypso 6.6% 9/1
- Seraglio Point 6.6% 9/1
- Brave Leader 6.0% 10/1
- Miss Pretty 4.4% 14/1
- Alkumatic Jo Jo 3.4% 18/1
- Five Moons 3.1% 20/1
- Tinsel 2.5% 25/1
Field & Odds (14 runners)
Sorted by market position. Best price shown is the lowest decimal price across the leading UK horse racing bookmakers — tap any bookie pill to bet at that price.
| No. | Horse | J / T | Form | RPR | TS | Best Price | Top Bookies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 (14) | Roc De Fer NAP |
J: Luke Morris T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt |
044-3 | 11/8 | |||
| 4 (11) | Fans Favourite EW p |
J: Kevin Stott T: Hugo Palmer |
87-311 | 9/2 | |||
| 3 (4) | James Choice |
J: Edward Greatrex T: Warren Greatrex |
643-6 | 13/2 | |||
| 5 (9) | Ziggy's Avenger DH |
J: Hector Crouch T: Michael Bell |
-08315 | 7/1 | |||
| 8 (10) | Sun Lord |
J: Oisin Orr T: Richard & Peter Fahey |
387 | 8/1 | |||
| 1 (12) | Prince Of Calypso p |
J: Billy Loughnane T: Edward Bethell |
3-37 | 9/1 | |||
| 14 (13) | Seraglio Point |
J: Tom Marquand T: Hughie Morrison |
683 | 9/1 | |||
| 11 (6) | Brave Leader p |
J: Sean Levey T: Tom Ward |
645-64 | 10/1 | |||
| 10 (7) | Miss Pretty p |
J: Georgia Dobie T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne |
17-03 | 14/1 | |||
| 9 (1) | Alkumatic Jo Jo |
J: Silvestre De Sousa T: Ivan Furtado |
-56265 | 18/1 | |||
| 7 (8) | Five Moons |
J: Josephine Gordon T: Simon & Ed Crisford |
7-4446 | 20/1 | |||
| 13 (2) | Tinsel |
J: P J McDonald T: Hughie Morrison |
4061-4 | 25/1 | |||
| 2 (5) | Corallience p |
J: Jack Doughty T: David Menuisier |
6-07 | 33/1 | |||
| 12 (3) | Carwyn p |
J: Donagh Murphy(7) T: Patrick Morris |
69-899 | 33/1 |
Best Free Bets for This Race
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